🔍 Deep dive
Caps, “fully-indexed” rate, and why ARMs feel sneaky
When you see an ARM advertisement, the headline number is the teaser / start rate. The real “gravity”
of an ARM is the fully-indexed rate: index + margin. If your index is 4.50% and your margin is 2.25%,
your fully-indexed rate is about 6.75% — even if your start rate is 5.50%. That doesn’t mean you’ll jump straight to 6.75%,
because caps often slow the change. But it does tell you the direction the loan wants to move when the intro period ends.
Caps are usually described like “2/1/5” or “2/2/5” (first adjustment cap / periodic cap / lifetime cap). This calculator uses a simpler
model that most people can reason about:
per-adjustment cap (how much the rate can change at each reset) and
lifetime cap (maximum increase above the start rate).
If you have the detailed cap structure from your lender, you can approximate it by choosing a per-adjustment cap that matches your periodic cap,
and a lifetime cap that matches your lifetime cap.
Why payments jump more than you expect
A rate increase does two things at once: it increases the interest you pay each month and it changes the payment needed to reach $0
by the end of the term. After 5–10 years, the remaining amortization window is shorter. So even a modest rate increase can cause a larger-than-expected
payment jump because the remaining balance must be paid down faster.
APR vs note rate (and points)
Two loans can share the same note rate but have different fees (points, origination, lender credits). APR compresses some of that into a single number,
which is why it’s useful for comparisons. But APR still won’t capture everything (like closing credits, prepayment penalties, or rate-lock extensions).
If you want a “real cost” view, enter estimated fees for each option and compare totals over your horizon.
Refinancing reality check
Many ARM decisions rely on refinancing later. That can work — but it isn’t guaranteed. Refinancing depends on (1) market rates, (2) your credit score,
(3) your debt-to-income ratio, and (4) whether your home value supports the new loan. In a tight market, refinance options can be worse exactly when you
most want them. This is why a good rule is: only choose an ARM if you could live with it even if you cannot refinance.
🧾 Glossary
Quick definitions (so you don’t get lost in lender language)
- Index
A market rate your ARM references. It can move up or down over time.
- Margin
A fixed add-on set by the lender. Your adjusted rate is usually index + margin (before caps/floors).
- Fully-indexed rate
The “raw” adjusted rate (index + margin), before caps are applied.
- Cap
A limit on how much the rate can change (per adjustment) and how high it can go (lifetime).
- Intro period
The initial years where the ARM behaves like a fixed loan at the start rate.
- Amortization
The schedule that pays a loan down to $0 via monthly payments.
- Payoff balance
The remaining principal you must pay if you sell or refinance.
If you want to be extra careful, run 3 scenarios: drift 0.00%, +0.50%, and +1.00% and compare winners.